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Live Markets · $MCLFuturesFull intraday data

Micro Crude Oil

1,253 RTH sessionsJul 12, 2021Jul 8, 2026
Asset
Futures
Sentiment
Live Takes
0
Open Markets
0

Today's Read

Auto-derived from MCL session history · updated nightly

It's a Mon — most likely a Normal Variation day

On Mondays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 36.8%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.

The first hour rarely holds

IB breaks 98.6% of the time — only 1.4% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 33.1% (Neutral days).

What "normal" looks like

Average session range is 2.1 pts. The 1-σ band runs 0.6741 → 3.5 — anything outside is an outlier day.

Gaps tend to fill

Gap up days test prior session high 56.5% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 57.5%.

VPOC is the leading tell

When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 68.7% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 68.0% of the time.

The overnight range matters

86.8% of RTH sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 52.8% of the time, OVN low 46.1%.

IB Break Rate
98.56%
IB high 66.0% · low 65.7%
Overnight Broken
86.83%
Both 12.1% · None 13.2%
Most Common Day
Normal Var
33.6% · Trend 27.0% · Neutral 33.1%

Session range

How wide a typical day is, end to end

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Median
1.7
Average
2.1
1-σ high
3.5

Initial Balance range

The first hour's high-to-low spread

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Median
0.8500
Average
1.0
1-σ high
1.7
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