Auto-derived from NKE session history · updated nightly
On Tuesdays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 50.7%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.
IB breaks 89.8% of the time — only 10.2% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 10.6% (Neutral days).
Average session range is 1.9 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 0.7256 → 3.1 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Gap up days test prior session high 68.2% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 66.4%.
When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 57.9% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 62.1% of the time.
95.5% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 64.5% of the time, OVN low 63.1%.
How wide a typical day is, end to end
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 1.65 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.7256 → 3.14 pts |
Unusual above A session range past this is an outlier day | 3.14 pts |
The first hour's high-to-low spread
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 1.12 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.5103 → 2.12 pts |
Unusual above A first hour past this is an outlier day | 2.12 pts |
Initial Balance break rates · day types by weekday · gap behavior · value-area touches · seasonality · the full set. Pro is $9/mo, cancellable anytime, and gives you every market on this list.