Auto-derived from TSLA session history · updated nightly
On Fridays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 50.6%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.
IB breaks 87.3% of the time — only 12.7% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 8.7% (Neutral days).
Average session range is 7.8 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 0.2542 → 15.3 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Gap up days test prior session high 66.0% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 61.2%.
When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 57.8% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 56.1% of the time.
50.6% of sessions close green. Average signed move is +0.06%, with a typical absolute move of ±2.18%.
95.5% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 64.3% of the time, OVN low 62.1%.
How wide a typical day is, end to end
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 6.73 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.2542 → 15.28 pts |
Unusual above A session range past this is an outlier day | 15.28 pts |
The first hour's high-to-low spread
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 4.60 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.2760 → 10.19 pts |
Unusual above A first hour past this is an outlier day | 10.19 pts |
Initial Balance break rates · day types by weekday · gap behavior · value-area touches · seasonality · the full set. Pro is $9/mo, cancellable anytime, and gives you every market on this list.