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Mini VIX Futures

VXM
Full intraday data

Today's Read

Auto-derived from VXM session history · updated nightly

It's a Thu — most likely a Normal Variation day

On Thursdays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 32.7%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.

The first hour rarely holds

IB breaks 97.3% of the time — only 2.7% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 26.7% (Neutral days).

What "normal" looks like

Average session range is 1.1 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 0.1359 → 2.0 — anything outside is an outlier day.

Gaps tend to fill

Gap up days test prior session high 66.7% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 66.2%.

VPOC is the leading tell

When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 61.1% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 71.0% of the time.

Long-run bias is bearish

41.1% of sessions close green. Average signed move is -0.04%, with a typical absolute move of ±1.43%.

The overnight range matters

93.5% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 50.9% of the time, OVN low 66.2%.

% Up Days
41.09%
Avg move ±1.43% · Edge -0.04%
Closed Inside Prior Range
41.19%
Sessions finishing inside the prior day's high–low
Touches Prior High
42.51%
Prior low 60.5%

Session range

How wide a typical day is, end to end

MeasureValue
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
0.8500 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
0.1359 → 2.04 pts
Unusual above
A session range past this is an outlier day
2.04 pts

Initial Balance range

The first hour's high-to-low spread

MeasureValue
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
0.4000 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
0.0402 → 1.03 pts
Unusual above
A first hour past this is an outlier day
1.03 pts
Biggest Up Day
+25.98%
Apr 8, 2025
Biggest Down Day
-14.42%
Apr 9, 2025
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