Auto-derived from XLE session history · updated nightly
On Tuesdays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 47.6%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.
IB breaks 91.1% of the time — only 8.9% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 13.4% (Neutral days).
Average session range is 0.6986 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 0.3208 → 1.1 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Gap up days test prior session high 64.4% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 63.6%.
When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 62.6% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 59.0% of the time.
96.5% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 64.1% of the time, OVN low 62.5%.
How wide a typical day is, end to end
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 0.6100 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.3208 → 1.08 pts |
Unusual above A session range past this is an outlier day | 1.08 pts |
The first hour's high-to-low spread
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
Typical Half of sessions come in under this | 0.4025 pts |
Normal band The middle 68% of sessions | 0.2106 → 0.7098 pts |
Unusual above A first hour past this is an outlier day | 0.7098 pts |
Initial Balance break rates · day types by weekday · gap behavior · value-area touches · seasonality · the full set. Pro is $9/mo, cancellable anytime, and gives you every market on this list.