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E-mini Dow

YM
Full intraday data

Today's Read

Auto-derived from YM session history · updated nightly

It's a Thu — most likely a Normal Variation day

On Thursdays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 42.0%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.

The first hour rarely holds

IB breaks 95.8% of the time — only 4.2% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 24.6% (Neutral days).

What "normal" looks like

Average session range is 352 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 103 → 600 — anything outside is an outlier day.

Gaps tend to fill

Gap up days test prior session high 60.2% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 66.9%.

VPOC is the leading tell

When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 66.1% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 62.5% of the time.

Long-run bias is neutral

53.4% of sessions close green. Average signed move is +0.01%, with a typical absolute move of ±0.49%.

The overnight range matters

93.6% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 60.5% of the time, OVN low 54.3%.

% Up Days
53.42%
Avg move ±0.49% · Edge +0.01%
Closed Inside Prior Range
43.42%
Sessions finishing inside the prior day's high–low
Touches Prior High
53.38%
Prior low 45.4%

Session range

How wide a typical day is, end to end

MeasureValue
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
300.0 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
102.7 → 600.4 pts
Unusual above
A session range past this is an outlier day
600.4 pts

Initial Balance range

The first hour's high-to-low spread

MeasureValue
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
168.0 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
61.49 → 323.7 pts
Unusual above
A first hour past this is an outlier day
323.7 pts
Biggest Up Day
+8.75%
Apr 9, 2025
Biggest Down Day
-5.02%
Mar 16, 2020
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