Auto-derived from BTC session history · updated nightly
7 reads
📅
It's a Fri — most likely a Neutral day
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On Fridays, Neutral sessions are the most common at 72.9%. Watch for a two-way day where both IB sides break — fade extremes.
Neutral
72.94%
🎯
The first hour rarely holds
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IB breaks 99.7% of the time — only 0.3% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 70.6% (Neutral days).
Break rate
99.70%
📏
What "normal" looks like
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Average session range is 1,630 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs -115 → 3,374 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Avg range
1,630 pts
⤴
Gaps tend to fill
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Gap up days test prior session high 100.0% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 0.0%.
Gap-up touch
100.00%
📊
VPOC is the leading tell
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When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 86.3% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 87.1% of the time.
IB low signal
87.08%
⚖️
Long-run bias is bullish
51.3% of sessions close green. Average signed move is +0.15%, with a typical absolute move of ±2.42%.
% up days
51.27%
📉
Last 5 sessions are down
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1 of the last 5 sessions closed green, with a cumulative -5.24% move. Momentum favors fading bounces or trading the short side.
5d move
-5.24%
% Up Days
51.27%
Avg move ±2.42% · Edge +0.15%
Closed Inside Prior Range
59.92%
Sessions finishing inside the prior day's high–low
Touches Prior High
48.21%
Prior low 41.9%
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Recent Sessions
Last 10 sessions · how each day actually played out
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Latest
Sep 30, 2026-0.10%
Normal
Open$83,638.42
Close$83,556.14
High$85,613.72
Low$82,911.86
Oct 1, 2026+1.55%
Normal
Open$83,556.14
Close$84,848.73
High$85,244
Low$83,107.03
Oct 2, 2026-0.41%
Normal
Open$84,848.73
Close$84,504.88
High$87,249.05
Low$83,850.02
Oct 3, 2026+0.28%
Normal
Open$84,504.88
Close$84,742.22
High$85,021.57
Low$84,425.07
Oct 4, 2026+2.08%
Normal
Open$84,742.22
Close$86,507.11
High$86,792.81
Low$84,700.02
Oct 5, 2026-0.87%
Normal▼ gap
Open$86,502.65
Close$85,748.96
High$86,996
Low$84,944.2
Oct 6, 2026-0.24%
Normal
Open$85,748.96
Close$85,539.77
High$86,698.35
Low$85,100.01
Oct 7, 2026-2.65%
Normal
Open$85,539.77
Close$83,275.06
High$85,601.11
Low$82,717.3
Oct 8, 2026-1.90%
Normal▼ gap
Open$83,275.05
Close$81,692.79
High$83,473.42
Low$80,314.7
Oct 9, 2026+0.43%
Normal
Open$81,692.79
Close$82,039.99
High$82,303.51
Low$81,534.02
Session range
How wide a typical day is, end to end
Measure
Value
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
1,026.2 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
-115.1 → 3,374.3 pts
Unusual above
A session range past this is an outlier day
3,374.3 pts
Initial Balance range
The first hour's high-to-low spread
Measure
Value
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
247.6 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
-41.63 → 798.2 pts
Unusual above
A first hour past this is an outlier day
798.2 pts
▲
Biggest Up Day
+27.27%
Jul 20, 2017
▼
Biggest Down Day
-38.79%
Mar 12, 2020
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