Nasdaq 100 e-mini — the volatility cousin of ES, tech-weighted.
2,513 RTH sessions•Jul 8, 2016 → Jul 8, 2026
Last
$28,283.25
▼-1.16%
Asset
Futures
Sentiment
—
Live Takes
7
Open Markets
2
⚡
Today's Read
Auto-derived from NQ session history · updated nightly
8 reads
📅
It's a Mon — most likely a Normal Variation day
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On Mondays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 50.2%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.
Normal Variation
50.21%
🎯
The first hour rarely holds
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IB breaks 96.4% of the time — only 3.6% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 21.8% (Neutral days).
Break rate
96.38%
📏
What "normal" looks like
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Average session range is 197 pts. The 1-σ band runs 38.2 → 355 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Avg range
197 pts
⤴
Gaps tend to fill
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Gap up days test prior session high 65.8% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 68.8%.
Gap-up touch
65.75%
📊
VPOC is the leading tell
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When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 68.1% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 60.3% of the time.
IB high signal
68.09%
⚖️
Long-run bias is bullish
53.7% of sessions close green. Average signed move is +0.05%, with a typical absolute move of ±1.02%.
% up days
53.70%
🌙
The overnight range matters
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94.5% of RTH sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 62.4% of the time, OVN low 54.8%.
OVN broken
94.51%
📉
Last 5 sessions are down
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2 of the last 5 sessions closed green, with a cumulative -1.61% move. Momentum favors fading bounces or trading the short side.
5d move
-1.61%
IB Break Rate
96.38%
IB high 63.1% · low 55.0%
Overnight Broken
94.51%
Both 22.8% · None 5.5%
Most Common Day
Normal Var
44.1% · Trend 20.7% · Neutral 21.8%
🔄
Recent Sessions
Last 10 sessions · how each day actually played out
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Latest
Jul 13, 2026-0.82%
Neutral▼ gap
Open$29,710.00
Close$29,466.50
High$29,752.50
Low$29,393.25
IB resultBoth broke
Jul 14, 2026-0.08%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$29,811.00
Close$29,786.75
High$29,895.75
Low$29,567.50
IB resultIB high broke
Jul 15, 2026-0.85%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$29,955.25
Close$29,700.50
High$29,977.50
Low$29,397.00
IB resultIB low broke
Jul 16, 2026-0.84%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$29,464.75
Close$29,217.00
High$29,532.00
Low$29,078.50
IB resultIB low broke
Jul 17, 2026+0.55%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$28,607.00
Close$28,764.25
High$29,050.25
Low$28,408.25
IB resultIB high broke
Jul 20, 2026-0.89%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$29,045.00
Close$28,785.75
High$29,192.50
Low$28,767.75
IB resultIB low broke
Jul 21, 2026+0.30%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$29,222.50
Close$29,310.75
High$29,364.75
Low$29,064.25
IB resultIB high broke
Jul 22, 2026+0.24%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$29,090.50
Close$29,160.50
High$29,342.25
Low$29,090.00
IB resultIB high broke
Jul 23, 2026-0.36%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$28,718.25
Close$28,615.00
High$28,883.00
Low$28,432.50
IB resultIB low broke
Jul 24, 2026-0.90%
Neutral▼ gap
Open$28,540.00
Close$28,283.25
High$28,630.75
Low$28,212.50
IB resultBoth broke
Session range
How wide a typical day is, end to end
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Median
169
Average
197
1-σ high
355
Initial Balance range
The first hour's high-to-low spread
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Median
95.8
Average
111
1-σ high
200
▲
Biggest Up Day
+12.01%
Apr 9, 2025
▼
Biggest Down Day
-6.01%
Apr 4, 2025
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