Auto-derived from NQ session history · updated nightly
8 reads
📅
It's a Fri — most likely a Normal Variation day
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On Fridays, Normal Variation sessions are the most common at 41.6%. Watch for a moderate range expansion past IB but capped at 2× IB.
Normal Variation
41.65%
🎯
The first hour rarely holds
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IB breaks 96.5% of the time — only 3.5% of sessions stay range-bound. Both sides break 21.9% (Neutral days).
Break rate
96.45%
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What "normal" looks like
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Average session range is 202 pts. The middle 68% of sessions runs 44.0 → 361 — anything outside is an outlier day.
Avg range
202 pts
⤴
Gaps tend to fill
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Gap up days test prior session high 65.5% of the time. Gap down days test prior low 68.1%.
Gap-up touch
65.47%
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VPOC is the leading tell
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When the IB VPOC sits in the upper half, IB high breaks 68.3% of the time. Lower half: IB low breaks 60.0% of the time.
IB high signal
68.30%
⚖️
Long-run bias is bullish
54.5% of sessions close green. Average signed move is +0.03%, with a typical absolute move of ±0.66%.
% up days
54.48%
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The overnight range matters
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94.2% of sessions break either the overnight high or low. The OVN high is tested 62.4% of the time, OVN low 54.5%.
OVN broken
94.19%
↔
Last 5 sessions are sideways
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2 of the last 5 sessions closed green, with a cumulative +0.25% move. No clear trend in the recent window.
5d move
+0.25%
% Up Days
54.48%
Avg move ±0.66% · Edge +0.03%
Closed Inside Prior Range
42.22%
Sessions finishing inside the prior day's high–low
Touches Prior High
56.01%
Prior low 42.9%
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Recent Sessions
Last 10 sessions · how each day actually played out
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Latest
Sep 25, 2026+0.23%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$30,819.75
Close$30,891.50
High$30,951.50
Low$30,684.00
IB resultIB high broke
Sep 28, 2026-0.50%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$30,719.50
Close$30,566.75
High$30,759.25
Low$30,356.75
IB resultIB low broke
Sep 29, 2026-0.30%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$30,708.75
Close$30,617.25
High$30,725.50
Low$30,504.50
IB resultIB low broke
Sep 30, 2026-0.02%
Neutral▲ gap
Open$30,699.50
Close$30,693.75
High$30,906.00
Low$30,680.75
IB resultBoth broke
Oct 1, 2026-0.08%
Neutral▲ gap
Open$30,796.75
Close$30,772.50
High$30,883.50
Low$30,529.25
IB resultBoth broke
Oct 2, 2026-0.25%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$31,148.50
Close$31,069.75
High$31,282.50
Low$30,988.00
IB resultIB low broke
Oct 5, 2026+0.91%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$31,055.00
Close$31,338.50
High$31,371.00
Low$31,044.25
IB resultIB high broke
Oct 6, 2026-0.10%
Normal Var▲ gap
Open$31,513.25
Close$31,480.75
High$31,616.50
Low$31,457.75
IB resultIB high broke
Oct 7, 2026+0.52%
Normal Var▼ gap
Open$31,234.00
Close$31,395.25
High$31,422.25
Low$31,143.00
IB resultIB high broke
Oct 8, 2026-0.83%
Trend▼ gap
Open$31,234.00
Close$30,976.00
High$31,369.75
Low$30,792.00
IB resultIB low broke
Session range
How wide a typical day is, end to end
Measure
Value
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
173.8 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
43.98 → 360.9 pts
Unusual above
A session range past this is an outlier day
360.9 pts
Initial Balance range
The first hour's high-to-low spread
Measure
Value
Typical
Half of sessions come in under this
99.25 pts
Normal band
The middle 68% of sessions
26.31 → 203.3 pts
Unusual above
A first hour past this is an outlier day
203.3 pts
▲
Biggest Up Day
+11.69%
Apr 9, 2025
▼
Biggest Down Day
-4.90%
Apr 8, 2025
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